The Grand National Championships

February 28, 2009

Okay, Here’s The Deal!

Filed under: Basketball is played by tall guys,Bubble Watch — by Andrew @ 9:47 pm

This bubble has tightened up considerably. You don’t have so many teams with the ridiculous amount of needle to thread for them to get into the tournament for this plain and simple fact. It’s get the tournament or bust. As we go into the last week of Regular season play for the larger conferences as well as the Championship week for the mid to developing majors. We need to double check where we stand.

ACC
Could the ACC get 8 bids? It’s a serious question. Duke, UNC, Wake Forest, Clemson, Florida State and Boston College are all locks. As for the three remaining bubble potentials? Miami has the best computer numbers (45/11) and with games @ Georgia Tech and versus North Carolina State left? They would be the best of the bubble. Maryland does have some tremendous wins (UNC, Michigan State) and their road games are quite winnable (North Carolina State, Virginia). But like Miami, they would probably need to get one tournament win to do it right.

One team would get North Carolina State, one team would get Virginia Tech. Virginia Tech can still make a case. But they have to hit a runner-runner of North Carolina and Florida State in Tallahassee to make their statement. It’s long odds in Hokie Town.

Big East
The question for the Big East to start the year was if they could swing a new record for a conference tournament berths. Now the question is, can they even get 8? UConn, Pitt, Villanova, Louisville, and Marquette are pretty sureshot locks. West Virginia and Syracuse are likely in. They just need to get their 20th win.

For Providence? It boils down to their final game at Villanova. They win there? It’s two major wins in their last three and the computer numbers (69/37), while mediocre, would not matter. They beat Cincinnati twice. The Bearcats have somewhat of a better resume. Wins over West Virginia and UAB and at UNLV with a (51/20) mean good things. The Bearcats will also get likely get 10 conference wins. If they beat Syracuse? It may be a case of Providence having a legitimate gripe come selection sunday.

And let Georgetown go. They play St. Johns and Miami. The RPI is going to fall into the 50’s. That’s killer.

Big Ten
And the Big Ten can also get eight teams if everything breaks right. Sure, Illinois, Michigan State, and Purdue are in. Minnesota needs one more win to feel safe. Ohio State needs one more win to feel safe. Wisconsin’s strength of schedule is good enough to get them in if they hold serve at home. Beyond that?

Penn State has a shot to lock it in if they can get one more, damning the RPI in the 60’s. But like Providence? The 11th conference win is the key. Illinois comes into State College. If Nittany wins here? They would move off the bubble.

The shambling corpse of Michigan keeps avoiding the perceived headshot to their NCAA tournament chances. They do have to go to Wisconsin and Minnesota. Get both? Then we can talk. But you need to get both.

Big 12
The bad play of Texas aside, they just need to beat Baylor in Austin to feel safe. Kansas, Oklahoma, and Missouri are in. Kansas State’s RPI is a joke and like Arizona State last season? They won’t make it because of it. So what’s left?

Texas A&M has both an RPI and an SOS in the 30’s. They will very likely get 21 wins and a .500 conference record. Oklahoma State is going to have the strength of schedule top 15. They will have 20 wins and 9 in conference. If the Cowboys can win versus Kansas State? They have the best shot for five bids. A&M would need to beat what would likely be Nebraska in the first round to get another chance.

Pac-10
It’s kind of locked in. UCLA, Cal, Washington, and Arizona State are certain berths. Arizona needs too sweep Cal and Stanford or take one with a tournament win to get a berth. Anybody else needs to run the table. Easy.

SEC
They’ll likely get five. LSU is in. Florida needs one more to get in. Tennessee should try and get two to get in. South Carolina needs to win their last home game and not roll craps against Georgia. Kentucky’s computer numbers suck again (66/63). If they lose at Florida, would the selection committee have the balls to leave them home if they don’t at least get one in the tournament?

No. And that’s why they’ll get five.

February 27, 2009

Matt Wieters is not Jesus.

Filed under: BAYSBALL!,Catchery,My cousin and I touched Wieters — by Andrew @ 6:04 pm

He’s not the combination of all the good parts of Joe Mauer and Mike Piazza. He is not a giant Johnny Bench. He is not another Dale Murphy. He is just another rookie.

Hype is not good for rookies. Sure, Junior Griffey lived up to the hype. But does anybody remember when Baseball America called Ruben Rivera the next Mickey Mantle? What about when Andruw Jones was supposed to change the world with his bat? Neither one happened.

And the degree of difficulty? It grows exponentially for the catchers. For every Ernie Lombardi in hype? We get a Mitch Melusky in execution. Know, those in the twitter world know I may be a man who thinks the sky is falling with every catcher in existence. But here’s the thing.

When the conservative projections of a player is .285/25/83 for a player you’re going to inevitably find yourself disappointed. Be easy Baltimore. Don’t lose your shit if Mike Napoli goes and outplays the Wieters.

February 26, 2009

Sorry kids…

Filed under: EVERYTHING I SAY IS IMPORTANT! — by Andrew @ 9:43 pm

It is not worth your time for me to take a shot at culling something mediocre together when I just do not have it. I have ideas. Sure. I may go early on the bubble rankings, especially if UAB can take down Memphis. I mean that changes everything.

It is what it is. March will be better.

February 25, 2009

The Bubble Movers and Shakers

Filed under: Basketball is played by tall guys,Bubble Watch — by Andrew @ 10:06 pm

1. Texas A&M: The buzzer-beater versus Nebraska now means the Aggies have an excellent shot of getting back to .500 in the Big 12.
2. Providence: You beat the #1 team in the country, and you now likely have a potential play-in game for them at Villanova.
3. Georgetown: Dead. All dead.
4. Ohio State: Back in the saddle again after beating…Penn State.
5. Penn State: They still need 22 wins to get in the tournament.
6. Dayton: STOP LOSING! STOP IT NOW! CREIGHTON DEMANDS IT!
7. Virginia Tech: Winning at Clemson gets them back into the conversation.

Sorry, this was a giant twitteration. I apologize. When I have something better. I will come back.

February 24, 2009

A mock draft thought exercise…I must have nothing else right?

1. Detroit: Matt Stafford QB-Georgia (Now I know what I said. And perhaps they will go in a different direction. But the fact of the matter is, what Miami did was a flukish sort of a thing. Teams do not jump up ten wins without luck. I would redshirt Stafford. Build for 2011.)
2. St. Louis: Jason Smith LT-Baylor (This is the upside play. But while Eugene Monroe is still the safer bet? Jason Smith has been climbing up the draft charts. Great athleticism. Good power. He was gonna be a great fit for the Packers at 9, but never mind that. He’s gonna get paid.)
3. Kansas City: Aaron Curry OLB-Wake Forest (Though now instead of just being happy, they are ecstatic.)
4. Seattle: Eugene Monroe LT-Virginia (Safest pick. Bridges the gap from Walter Jones and with Crabtree’s injury, they move here.)
5. Cleveland: Malcolm Jenkins-CB Ohio State (If you can stop the pass? You’re in good shape. This gives them a good opportunity.)
6. Cincinnati: Everette Brown-DE Florida State (To continue building on a surprisingly stout defense.)
7. Oakland: Michael Crabtree-WR Texas Tech (Because the Raiders scouting operation is nothing more than a fanball.com draft preview magazine.)
8. Jacksonville: Rey Maualuga-MLB USC (I know, with no pro day and a 4.8 combine 40 they could probably deal down and still get him. But with Andre Smith so clearly insane? He’s their best player available that fits a need for them.)
9. Green Bay: Aaron Maybin DE-Penn State (They could go Raji, they could trade down, but of the available defenders currently, he looks tailor made to be a 3-4 OLB Pass rusher. And you know that good pass-rushers are slightly overvalued in this day and age.)
10. San Francisco: B.J. Raji NT-Boston College (Another team that flinches on Andre Smith.)
11. Buffalo: Brian Orapko DE-Texas (Great athleticism, he’s a tailor made 4-3 defensive end.)
12. Denver: Vontae Davis CB-Illinois (You could see a team in the market to deal up here. Davis is a great defender, but so far as the thought exercises go? They have bigger and better needs. A deal to 9 would get them Raji.)
13. Washington: Peria Jerry DT-Mississippi (Killed it at the senior bowl, obviously they’ll go in a different direction if Haynesworth rolls up to the Capital City. But he fits the scheme perfectly.)
14. New Orleans: Brian Cushing OLB-USC (Somewhere in this sequence from Picks 8-14, someone is bound to trade up and grab an offensive player. A Mark Sanchez, Jeremy Maclin, Darrius Heyward-Bey, whatever. The Saints have three picks. If none of them have been selected? The Saints will listen to a good offer.)
15. Houston: James Laurinitas OLB-Ohio State (Now sure. People are in the I’m going to look for weaknesses stage with Laurinitas because he’s done nothing since the Fiesta Bowl. But we know who he is, and as this draft breaks down? He’s a great fit.)
16. San Diego: Michael Oher OT-Mississippi (He is the high-risk prospect at offensive tackle, but the tools that he has with the linemates in San Diego? He’s a perfect fit.
17. New York Jets: Alphonso Smith CB-Wake Forest (Draft for need or best player available. I say they draft for need.)
18. Chicago: Mark Sanchez QB-USC (Kyle Orton has shown himself to be a decent player, but Sanchez has all the tools to be spectacular. Maybe Maclin, or maybe Heyward-Bey, maybe Harvin.)
19. Tampa Bay: Darrius Heyward-Bey WR Maryland (I say unto you. You want a receiver that is a weapon? They just might pass on Maclin to get to him. In fact? They will.)
20. Detroit (from Dallas): Andre Smith OT Alabama (Long fall ends here. They need a potential franchise left tackle. And despite the worst job interview ever? He could still do it.
21. Philadelphia: William Beatty OT UConn (At the rate this draft is going? The Eagles should take their potential left tackle of the future here because an offensive weapon might still be there at 28.)
22. Minnesota: Alex Mack C Cal (The secret world of Alex Mack is a key addition to the magical Vikings run game.)
23. New England: Clay Matthews OLB USC (Because he’s muli-purposed for evil.)
24. Atlanta: Shawn Nelson TE-Southern Miss (The main beneficiary of the Dustin Keller effect, with none of Jared Cook’s character issues.)
25. Miami: Jeremy Maclin WR Missouri (Who forgot about you? I didn’t. I expect a trade up for Maclin.)
26. Baltimore: Percy Harvin WR Florida (The Ravens offense needs a playmaker, and here he is.)
27. Indianapolis: Eben Britton OT Arizona (A solid set of tools for a team that could fit in as an eventual left tackle, even if he starts out as a swing tackle. Right tackle now.)
28. Philadelphia (from Carolina): Chris Wells RB Ohio State (See?)
29. New York Giants: Clint Sintim OLB Virginia (When in doubt, the Giants love to collect pass-rushers. Sure Michael Johnson is still available, but you know what? Sintim can be an outside linebacker…right now!)
30. Tennessee: Michael Johnson DE Georgia Tech (Jevon Kearse version 2.0)
31. Arizona: Knowshon Moreno RB Georgia (Damn the 40 time, he has the lateral movement and he has an excellent opportunity to be the bellcow for a top-notch offense.)
32. Pittsburgh: Phil Loadholt RT Oklahoma (The Steelers need a tackle in some form or fashion, and if the six left tackle prospects are gone? It’s time to get all giant and power playery.)

Yeah. This may be weird to you. It’s weird to me. Jeremy Maclin falls to 26?

I know, right?

More gifs!

Filed under: EVERYTHING I SAY IS IMPORTANT! — by Andrew @ 9:33 am

http://cakerockstheparty.blogspot.com

Kristen Bell and Shelley Martinez say go to http://cakerockstheparty.blogspot.com

I come bearing Gifs

Filed under: EVERYTHING I SAY IS IMPORTANT! — by Andrew @ 9:10 am

Kristen Bell gifs!

FOR AMERICA!

Just a reminder, new blog is at http://cakerockstheparty.blogspot.com

That’s http://cakerockstheparty.blogspot.com for great justice.

February 23, 2009

Pat White? Top 5 Quarterback Prospect?

It’s not as strange as you think. After all? Pat White suddenly has skills that you’re able build a dream on. He has an official listing of 6’0″, which contextually means everything. His 40-time is listed at 4.49, but we already knew that. He was a productive, if not injury-prone quarterback at West Virginia.

But why would he be listed as a Top 5 Quarterback? Because with a ridiculously bad quarterback class, when you’re a major college quarterback who’s in the process of showing something new? You can climb the ladder rapidly. Break it down, you say, and I will.

One, Pat White was able to look comfortable in the pocket as a quarterback during the Senior Bowl game. He’s spectacular at throwing the ball on the run, but he showed the raw tools to be a McNabbian dropback quarterback in the future.

Two, in a world that can shake your top prospects, (Matt Stafford, Andre Smith) he has shown himself to be able to rise up to the challenges of the NFL Combine. You can read thoughts from Don Banks or Mike Mayock, but suffice it to say, Pat White isn’t a speedy dude with a rag arm. It doesn’t mean he can be a good pro, and your Pat White may yet have to move to a different position, but in a world where the white Andre Woodson was your putative 6th quarterback prospect coming into the combine?

It can shoot somebody up the ladder.

And three? All things being equal, Pat White’s weaknesses seem less glaring. Rhett Bomar and Nate Davis are both quarterbacks who lack a certain amount of polish to their passing game. So too Pat White. Bomar also has a little longer list of an injury history than Pat White. And Bomar also got thrown out on his ass at Oklahoma.

I’m not saying that you need to look for him in the middle of round 2? All I’m saying is if you get up at 10 am on April 26th and find that you’re in the Pat White business?

Don’t be shocked.

Pat White? Top 5 Quarterback Prospect?

It’s not as strange as you think. After all? Pat White suddenly has skills that you’re able build a dream on. He has an official listing of 6’0″, which contextually means everything. His 40-time is listed at 4.49, but we already knew that. He was a productive, if not injury-prone quarterback at West Virginia.

But why would he be listed as a Top 5 Quarterback? Because with a ridiculously bad quarterback class, when you’re a major college quarterback who’s in the process of showing something new? You can climb the ladder rapidly. Break it down, you say, and I will.

One, Pat White was able to look comfortable in the pocket as a quarterback during the Senior Bowl game. He’s spectacular at throwing the ball on the run, but he showed the raw tools to be a McNabbian dropback quarterback in the future.

Two, in a world that can shake your top prospects, (Matt Stafford, Andre Smith) he has shown himself to be able to rise up to the challenges of the NFL Combine. You can read thoughts from Don Banks or Mike Mayock, but suffice it to say, Pat White isn’t a speedy dude with a rag arm. It doesn’t mean he can be a good pro, and your Pat White may yet have to move to a different position, but in a world where the white Andre Woodson was your putative 6th quarterback prospect coming into the combine?

It can shoot somebody up the ladder.

And three? All things being equal, Pat White’s weaknesses seem less glaring. Rhett Bomar and Nate Davis are both quarterbacks who lack a certain amount of polish to their passing game. So too Pat White. Bomar also has a little longer list of an injury history than Pat White. And Bomar also got thrown out on his ass at Oklahoma.

I’m not saying that you need to look for him in the middle of round 2? All I’m saying is if you get up at 10 am on April 26th and find that you’re in the Pat White business?

Don’t be shocked.

There’s a Production Assistant at ESPN on Twitter.

Filed under: TGNC-CRTP Newsed Brief,Twitter'd — by Andrew @ 1:02 pm

I am intrigued by this turn of events. Especially from his last “tweet.”

Stu Scott kickboxing in the gym. This is awkward.

So all you need to do is go here, and click that little follow button. He just might get things interesting.

Hat tip goes here…

And remember? twitter.com/thegnc or click the little follow icon on the side.

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