I told you about this yesterday. The Bracket Buster that isn’t. The most underrated Mid-Major game in Feburary is not Siena going cross country. It isn’t even Drake-Butler. It is Western Kentucky-South Alabama.
Put it this way. This game will decide an at-large bid for some team. If you’re a fan of, let’s say, Davidson? You have got to pay attention.
But before we continue? Let’s have ourselves a Champagne Jam of a Bubble Watch

South Alabama Jaguars (19-5, 13-2)
RPI: 37
SOS: 130
vs. Top 25 RPI: 0-1
vs. Top 50 RPI: 2-2
Quality Wins: Mississippi State, Western Kentucky
Bad Losses: @ North Texas, @ Middle Tennessee State
If close counts in your NCAA Tournament considerations, the Jaguars are in solid shape. Losing to Vanderbilt by three at their place is a good loss. The Mississippi loss is falling off the cliff of quality. Your only worry, Jaguar Fans? Mississippi State has four road games in the last six.

Remaining Games: @ Western Kentucky, Presbyterian, New Orelans, @ Florida International.
Tomorrow is the key. (I will withhold final judgements until later, but suffice it to say they’re in by winning out to the Sun Belt Championship.) But if they don’t pull it off? They’re going to fall back down the ladder of the Bubble Teams. Momentum is everything, and they have been burned twice in conference.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (19-5, 13-1)
RPI: 48
SOS: 158
vs. Top 25 RPI: 0-1
vs. Top 50 RPI: 0-3
Quality Wins: None.
Bad Losses: @ Northern Arizona
If close is a consideration in your NCAA Tournament Selections, then the Hiltoppers have one half of a Davidson-sized case. (By 6 at Tennessee, By 4 at South Alabama, By 3 at Gonzaga). Maybe one-third of a case, but still. They do not have anything close to a signature win before they play Western Kentucky. They need this one.
Remaining Games: So. Alabama, LA-Monroe, @ Fla. International, @ Fla. Atlantic
Tomorrow is the key. (I will withhold final judgements until later, but suffice it to say they’re in by winning out to the Sun Belt Championship.) But if they don’t pull it off? They will need to win the conference championship. They have momentum, but when your best win would be at Middle Tennessee State? It means they cannot haz big dance cheezburger.

OH NOES!!!
Final Judgements
Who Wins? It’s a pressure situation. Western Kentucky needs a win. South Alabama is coming into their place. But Western Kentucky’s D can counterbalance the Jaguars O. Ken Pomeroy calls Hilltoppers, I am inclined to disagree. For this one, anyway.
South Alabama
Record: 24-6 (18-3) Out in the Conference Championship Game
Last 12 Games: 10-2
Western Kentucky
Record: 25-6 (19-2) Conference Champions.
Last 12 Games: 11-1
Are they In? Call it a bet hedge, but I think the Sun Belt is a multi-bid conference. So. Alabama may win both in-season battles, but I believe that the Hilltoppers will win the Tournament War. And So. Alabama would be a better choice than the Big East’s 8th place team. So yeah, that’s how it goes.
Unless the Hilltoppers win tomorrow. Then it’s just for the Tournament champ and no one else.
UPDATE: So. Alabama up 57-54, with 7:30 left in the second half.
UPDATE II: South Alabama 61; Western Kentucky 60, 1:25 to go.
UPDATE III: South Alabama 69; Western Kentucky 64. Final. The Jaguars move into great shape. The Hiltoppers need the auto bid.











